The Week That Was: 2024-02-10 (February 10, 2024)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “
Variety of the Week: $4 Trillion
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: Utilizing graphs, Roy Spencer demonstrates that his graphic strategies of presenting datasets reveal variations in knowledge fairly than hiding them. In one other put up, Spencer explores why completely different time intervals match completely different fashions higher than different time intervals. As mentioned in two stories, the excessive value of wind and solar energy has grow to be evident in Europe. Mann v. Steyn is mentioned together with the view of climatologist Judith Curry.
***********************
Cover or Reveal? Richard Feynman set a excessive aim for scientific analysis when he wrote: “The primary precept is that you should not idiot your self – and you’re the best particular person to idiot.” A lot of those that are motivated by a passionate curiosity in a subject simply idiot themselves by ignoring knowledge that questions their desired end result or adjusting the info to offer their views essentially the most favorable impression. The graphs introduced by Al Gore within the film “The inconvenient reality” are an instance. He reveals graphs indicating that temperatures and carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations transfer collectively based mostly on Antarctic ice cores. He claims this “proves” that modifications in carbon dioxide concentrations trigger temperature modifications.
Truly, it doesn’t. The graphs simply present that there could also be a correlation. Actually, based mostly on experiments, carbon dioxide is absorbed extra readily in chilly water than heat water, and as water warms CO2 is launched. This may be seen in ocean upwelling, that are wealthy major producers of aquatic sea life. They convey to the floor chilly water that’s wealthy in carbon dioxide, nitrogen and phosphorus selling phytoplankton which begins the vitality base for a posh meals chain together with offering meals for fish, marine mammals, seabirds, and different creatures.
Quite a few research have identified that Mr. Gore had the timelines fallacious to assert causation. On the whole, temperature modifications occurred earlier than CO2 modifications, by a mean of about 800 years. Al Gore has no rationalization for the precise timeline which he hid, most likely unintentionally. Al Gore fooled himself on the timeline, thus the causation declare.
Gavin Schmidt, the director of NASA-GISS has been posting criticisms of the work of Roy Spencer and John Christy claiming the way through which they current knowledge is deceptive. Spencer writes that:
Because the blogosphere continues to amplify Gavin Schmidt’s declare that the best way John Christy and I plot temperature time sequence knowledge is a few type of ‘trickery’, I’ve provide you with a method to exhibit its superiority. Following a suggestion by Heritage Basis chief statistician Kevin Dayaratna, I’ll do that utilizing solely local weather mannequin knowledge, and never evaluating the fashions to observations. That means, nobody can declare I’m displaying the info in such a method to make the fashions ‘look dangerous’.
The aim right here is to plot a number of temperature time sequence on a single graph in such a means their completely different charges of long-term warming (often measured by linear warming tendencies) are finest mirrored by their placement on the graph, with out hiding these variations.
A. Uncooked Temperatures
Let’s begin with 32 CMIP6 local weather mannequin projections of worldwide annual common floor air temperature for the interval 1979 via 2100 (Plot A) and for which we’ve equilibrium local weather sensitivity (ECS) estimates (I’ve omitted 2 of the three Canadian mannequin simulations, which produce essentially the most warming and are just about the identical).
Right here, I’m utilizing the uncooked temperatures out of the fashions (not anomalies). As could be seen in Plot A, there are fairly giant biases between fashions which are likely to obscure which fashions heat essentially the most and which heat the least.” [graph not shown here]
“B. Temperature Anomalies Relative to the Full Interval (1979-2100)
Subsequent, if we plot the departures of every mannequin’s temperature from the full-period (1979-2100) common, we see in Plot B that the discrepancies between fashions warming charges are divided between the primary and second half of the report, with the warmest fashions by 2100 having the good temperature anomalies in 1979, and the good fashions in 2100 having the warmest temperatures in 1979. Clearly, this isn’t a lot of an enchancment, particularly if one needs to check the fashions early within the report… proper?” [graph no shown here]
Spencer goes via two different strategies of presentation earlier than displaying the Spencer & Christy technique. Spencer writes that:
E. Temperature Departures from Linear Traits (relative to the pattern Y-intercepts in 1979)
Lastly, I present the strategy John Christy and I’ve been utilizing for fairly a number of years now, which is to align the time sequence such that their linear tendencies all intersect within the first yr, right here 1979 (Plot E). I’ve beforehand mentioned why this ‘appears’ essentially the most logical technique, however clearly not everyone seems to be satisfied.
Admittedly, Plots C, D, and E all look fairly comparable… so know which (if any) is finest?
[Graph not shown here]
How the Fashions’ Temperature Metrics Evaluate to their Equilibrium Local weather Sensitivities
What we would like is a technique of graphing the place the mannequin variations in long-term warming charges present up as early as attainable within the report. For instance, think about you’re looking at a selected yr, say 1990… we would like a method to show the mannequin temperature variations in that yr which have some relationship to the fashions’ long-term charges of warming.
In fact, every mannequin already has a metric of how a lot warming it produces, via their recognized equilibrium (or efficient) local weather sensitivities, ECS. So, all we’ve to do is, in every separate yr, correlate the mannequin temperature metrics in Plots A, B, C, D, and E with the fashions’ ECS values (see plot, under).
After we do that ‘scoring’ we discover that our technique of plotting the info clearly has the best correlations between temperature and ECS early within the report. [Graph not shown here]
I hope that is adequate proof of the prevalence of our means of plotting completely different time sequence when the intent is to reveal variations in long-term tendencies, fairly than conceal these variations. [Boldface was italics in original]
As TWTW has steadily said, the local weather mannequin knowledge is close to surface-air knowledge. There are not any requirements concerning the place the temperatures are taken, time of day, instrumentation, or frequency. Even within the US which as soon as was the gold normal, as Anthony Watts and his group have proven, the requirements for the US are overwhelmingly ignored. Additional, as Tony Heller has proven, the info have been so closely manipulated by politicized authorities companies that the unique knowledge has been misplaced. There isn’t any query that there’s a greenhouse impact which retains the land lots on earth heat sufficient to assist complicated life and carbon dioxide (a gasoline important for inexperienced life which creates meals for all complicated life) is a secondary greenhouse gasoline, after water vapor (one other gasoline important for all times on Earth). See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy and Measurement Points – Floor & Reducing Requirements for a few of Heller’s latest work.
***********************
Which Time Interval? Spencer has one other put up which asks: What Interval of Warming Finest Correlates with Local weather Sensitivity? He writes:
“When computing temperature tendencies within the context of ‘world warming’ we should select a area (U.S.? world? and so forth.) and a time interval (the final 10 years? 50 years? 100 years?) and a season (summer season? winter? annual?). Clearly, we are going to acquire completely different temperature tendencies relying upon our decisions. However what significance do these decisions have within the context of worldwide warming?
Clearly, if we choose the latest 10 years, such a brief interval can have a pattern closely influenced by an El Nino initially and a La Nina on the finish (thus miserable the pattern) — or vice versa.
Alternatively, if we go too far again in time (say, earlier than the mid-Twentieth Century), growing CO2 within the environment can not have a lot of an impression on the temperatures earlier than that point. Inclusion of information too far again will simply mute the sign we’re in search of.
One method to examine this drawback is to take a look at local weather mannequin output throughout many fashions to see how their warming tendencies evaluate to these fashions’ recognized equilibrium local weather sensitivities (ECS). I understand local weather fashions have their very own issues, however a minimum of they generate inner variability considerably like the true world, as an example with El Ninos and La Ninas scattered all through their time simulations.
I’ve investigated this for 34 CMIP6 fashions having knowledge obtainable on the KNMI Local weather Explorer web site which additionally has revealed ECS values. The next plot reveals the correlation between the 34 fashions’ ECS and their temperature tendencies via 2023, however with completely different beginning years.
[Graph not shown here:]
The height correlation happens round 1945, which is when CO2 emissions started to extend considerably, after World Battle II. However there’s a purpose why the correlations begin to fall off after that date.” [Boldface added]
Spencer explains:
“The CMIP6 Local weather Fashions Have Extensively Differing Aerosol Forcings
The next plot (annotated by me, supply publication right here) reveals that after WWII the assorted CMIP6 fashions have more and more completely different quantities of aerosol forcings inflicting numerous quantities of cooling.
[Graph not shown here]
If these fashions had not differed a lot of their aerosol forcing, one might presumable have picked a later beginning date than 1945 for significant temperature pattern computation. Word the variations stay giant even by 2015, which is reaching the purpose of not being helpful anyway for pattern computations via 2023.
So, what interval would offer the ‘finest’ size of time to judge world warming claims? At this level, I truthfully have no idea.” [Boldface added in last sentence.]
Your complete train demonstrates the absurdity of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) and its followers to hunt an “equilibrium local weather.” As Richard Lindzen has proven, Earth has dozens of climates which might be continually altering that can not be measured by temperature. As well as, we didn’t have good measurements of ocean temperatures till the Argo float program which started in 1999.
What Spencer additionally demonstrates is the modelers recreation enjoying of including and subtracting from aerosols (fudge components) that could be actual or imagined. See hyperlink below Difficult the Orthodoxy.
***********************
Vitality Transition: Western governments try to pressure an vitality transition onto their populations that the individuals clearly are not looking for for a variety of causes primarily as a result of alternate options to conventional electrical era don’t present reasonably priced, dependable electrical energy. Briefly, politicians making an attempt to implement such measures are extremely naive (silly).
Final week, TWTW mentioned the views of famous safety specialist, Professor emeritus Gwythian Prins of the London College of Economics (and Political Science) on the “Web Zero” plan of changing coal, oil, and pure gasoline with wind and photo voltaic making a nationwide safety drawback for the UK. His report, “Archimedes’ Fulcrum” was revealed by Web Zero Watch.
This week, Web Zero Watch revealed “Retreat from Web Zero is below means” by Ross Clark, a lead author and columnist on the Spectator in addition to a frequent contributor to a number of nationwide newspapers together with the Day by day Telegraph, Day by day Mail and the Categorical. His ideas are simple to grasp, and he addresses most of the failures of “new vitality.” His views could also be too optimistic, for the beast could also be tough to kill.
Paul Homewood directed us to “The Battle to Obtain Web Zero Emissions – Whereas Balancing Safety, Affordability and Sustainability” by Morten Springborg of C WorldWide Asset Administration, a fund supervisor based mostly in Copenhagen and registered within the US and UK. It was previously often known as Carnegie Asset Administration. The report begins with a quote from a dramatically profitable lady from a poor white household in Appalachia (US) which sums the issues of vitality transition:
“’It prices some huge cash to look this low-cost.’ – Dolly Parton”
The report begins with:
“Key Insights
Regardless of quickly rising investments, the decarbonization of our vitality methods continues to progress too slowly. The transition is failing as a result of the chosen technique just isn’t aligned with the Vitality Trilemma constraints of safety, affordability, and sustainability.
• Focusing solely on photo voltaic and wind is not going to get us to the web zero goal. Measured in major vitality phrases, renewables have very low energy density, and due to this fact, photo voltaic and wind ought to solely be used for direct electrification the place the vitality losses are lowest.
• Taking intermittent electrical energy manufacturing above a sure threshold within the grid results in rising electrical energy costs and instability and potential blackouts of the grid.
• Underinvestment in major vitality will result in vitality shortage, and the poorest a part of the worldwide inhabitants can pay the best worth in capped human growth.
• Inequality in entry to vitality might be essentially the most vital human growth subject.
On this paper, we are going to start describing our predicament at the moment, and in a follow-up paper, we are going to concentrate on the options: Diversified vitality methods, know-how, and improved vitality effectivity. Superior nuclear fission, and fusion from the 2030s, in addition to nature-based carbon sinks, pure gasoline, and vitality effectivity as described in our White Paper from 2021. We should always not blindly pursue short-term CO2 discount targets, which may solely be met at excessively excessive prices to our societies; the worth is long-term decarbonization, and there might be a hockey stick growth when the fitting applied sciences can be found.
From Important Avenue media to academia and Wall Avenue brokerage analysis, an unrelenting chant has been heard for years: wind and photo voltaic are the most cost effective types of electrical energy. In additional technical phrases, photo voltaic and wind are claimed to have the bottom ‘levelized value of vitality’ (LCOE), and due to this fact transitioning to a renewable-based vitality system just isn’t solely good for the atmosphere but in addition good for the financial system because it lowers the price of vitality. Politicians, NGOs, and, importantly, an increasing number of dominant ‘inexperienced corporations’ have been claiming this so loudly that arguing the other has grow to be extremely controversial. Canceled off-shore wind auctions, declining share costs of renewable vitality corporations, and the extraordinarily unstable – and over time – greater electrical energy costs and degraded grid reliability nearly in all places the place wind and photo voltaic have achieved significant market penetration have gone nearly unnoticed by this inexperienced agenda.
The vitality transition should be analyzed in an Vitality Trilemma framework.
1. the excessive prices of the chosen pathway,
2. the inadequate safety of provide,
3. and the questionable sustainability pathway
The report defines intermittent electrical energy as: “Any supply of vitality, for instance, photo voltaic or wind, which isn’t repeatedly obtainable for conversion into electrical energy.”
Very merely, so long as various sources stay unreliable and costly, civilization will want conventional sources similar to nuclear, hydroelectric, and fossil fuels, which the greens irrationally oppose and invent arguments towards.
Ross Clark begins his report with:
“The UN conferences on local weather change have grow to be famend for his or her platitudes, with nationwide leaders falling over one another to say what disparate straits the world is in, how we should decarbonize ever quicker – earlier than returning to their house nations and placing financial growth effectively forward of their guarantees to chop emissions. However the president of COP28 in Dubai in December 2023, Sultan Al Jaber, was unusually frank. Al Jaber, who additionally serves because the chair of Abu Dhabi state oil company, ADNOC, which not too long ago introduced a $150 billion funding to extend oil manufacturing by almost 50 p.c to five million barrels a day by 2027, appealed to former Irish President Mary Robinson: ‘present me a street map for the part out of fossil gas that permits for social, sustainable growth…except you wish to take the world again into caves’.
Al Jaber was eviscerated for his feedback, but they had been in tune with a silent majority. An evaluation by the web site Zero Tracker reveals that even nations with web zero targets are closely resisting strain to part out exploration for and growth of fossil gas assets. There are 93 oil-producing nations which have web zero targets, however solely six of them have plans to part out oil. Solely 5 out of 94 gas-producing nations with a web zero goal have plans to part out gasoline. As for coal-producing nations, solely 65 of these with web zero targets have plans to cease manufacturing.
As at all times with COP conferences, the occasion ended with a communiqué promising that the world would attempt to ‘transition away’ from fossil fuels – which is a good distance from agreeing to part them out by a sure date, as many activists demanded. After two weeks and a number of other hundred 1000’s of tonnes [metric tons] of carbon dioxide spewed out by personal jets and the like, the 98,000 delegates who had signed up for COP28 had provide you with nothing greater than an empty promise.
In truth, the listing of nations with plans to part out fossil fuels is displaying few indicators of rising. The brand new authorities in New Zealand has simply reneged on the earlier administrations’ pledge to take action. In Germany, Federal Economics Minister Robert Habeck not too long ago introduced that he could delay the nation’s deliberate phase-out of coal by 2030 due to the vitality disaster provoked by the invasion of Ukraine.”
Clark then goes into particulars similar to fossil gas use has by no means been larger, the prices on wind and photo voltaic are far larger than promoted, hydrogen energy is dropping its “puff,” small nuclear reactors aren’t showing as anticipated, and EVs are operating out of juice. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy and Questioning European Inexperienced.
***********************
Mann v. Steyn: The jury trial in a Washington DC courtroom is over, and the jury present in favor of Mr. Mann. A lot of commentators have expressed their views. TWTW finds the complete present akin to the Scopes Monkey Trial in 1925 which was claimed by the profitable facet to show that human evolution was a false idea. It didn’t.
As with the Scope’s trial, in Mann v. Stein bodily proof was by no means introduced. The one skilled testimony allowed was by Professor of Statistics and Knowledge Science Abraham Wyner of Warton, College of Pennsylvania. Little doubt he’s an achieved statistician, however does he perceive the bodily proof required and the standard of that proof?
The skilled testimony ready by climatologist Judith Curry and statistician Stephen McKitrick, each of whom perceive the bodily proof required for understanding the issue was not admitted. As with the Scopes Trial, the clear loser within the trial was the scientific technique and scientific integrity. The victor was institutionalized science, which can or could not contradict nature, the last word choose in pure sciences.
Judith Curry posted her proposed skilled testimony on Local weather And so forth. She begins with:
“I submit this report below D.C. Superior Courtroom Civil Rule 26(a)(2)(B) & (C) as each reality and skilled witness to handle the subject material on which I anticipate to current proof and to summarize the info and opinions on which I anticipate to testify. This report contains my observations and opinions as a lay and skilled witness regarding three principal matters: (I) the character of the scientific and public controversy regarding the Hockey Stick graph; (II) whether or not the Hockey Stick graph could be considered ‘fraudulent’; and (III) Michael Mann’s position within the downward spiral of local weather science discourse. I current sections (I) and (III) largely in my capability as a reality/lay opinion witness and part (II) in my capability as an skilled witness.
SUMMARY
This report addresses the difficulty of whether or not it’s affordable to check with the Hockey Stick graph as ‘fraudulent’ in the midst of the general public debate on local weather change.
- What’s the nature of the scientific and public controversy regarding the Hockey Stick?”
Curry offers a radical evaluate of the “downward spiral of local weather science discourse” with references and intensive quotes from Mr. Mann and his colleagues. She concludes with:
“Michael Mann claims to be the sufferer of a Serengeti technique by political opponents of local weather change insurance policies. Mann has arguably been singled out for assaults as a result of he has violated the norms of science: (a) withheld knowledge from scientists who’re important of his work; (b) stifled criticism of his work inside the IPCC and by distorting the peer evaluate course of; and (c) employed what he calls the “Serengeti technique” to assault scientists who disagree with him.
Of particular relevance to this lawsuit, Mann has been instrumental within the downward spiral of discourse surrounding local weather change, the very factor that he decries on this lawsuit. His free use of the phrase ‘fraudulent’ as regards to analysis that’s important of his personal plus characterizing folks that he disagrees with as ‘skilled liar for rent’, ‘denier,’ ‘anti-science,’ amongst different issues, contributes to an ‘something goes’ atmosphere for discourse surrounding this controversial and contentious subject.”
Steyn defended himself and this saying applies: “a person who’s his personal lawyer has a idiot for a shopper.” See hyperlink below Difficult the Orthodoxy and hyperlinks to different views below Oh Mann!
***********************
Variety of the Week: $4 Trillion. In his report “The Battle to Obtain Web Zero Emissions – Whereas Balancing Safety, Affordability and Sustainability” Morten Springborg references Statista that over the previous 20 years new funding in renewable vitality worldwide has been over $4 Trillion. But, nobody has an indication undertaking displaying how a lot it will value to make renewable vitality dependable. As Dolly Parton reportedly mentioned:
“It prices some huge cash to look this low-cost.”
See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy and https://www.statista.com/statistics/186807/worldwide-investment-in-sustainable-energy-since-2004/
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
International Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Might 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy – Radiation Switch
The Position of Greenhouse Gases in Vitality Switch within the Earth’s Ambiance
By W. A. van Wijngaarden and W. Happer, Preprint, Mar 3, 2023
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Lack of Scientific Integrity Ought to Be Solely Local weather Alarm
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Feb 5, 2024
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/hockey-ipcc-stick/2024/02/05/id/1152305/
“In one other e-mail, [Climatologist Peter] Thorne said, ‘I additionally suppose the science is being manipulated to place a political spin on it which for all our sakes may not be too intelligent in the long term.’”
JC’s skilled report
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. Feb 8, 2024
Proof that the Spencer & Christy Technique of Plotting Temperature Time Sequence is Finest
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Feb 9, 2024
What Interval of Warming Finest Correlates with Local weather Sensitivity?
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Feb 6, 2024
The Battle to Obtain Web Zero Emissions
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 6, 2024
Hyperlink to report: The Battle to Obtain Web Zero Emissions – Whereas Balancing Safety, Affordability and Sustainability
By Morten Springborg, International Thematic Specialist, C WorldWide Asset Administration, 2024
1.5 deg Local weather Threshold Breached – Briefly.
By David Whitehouse, Web Zero Watch, Feb 8, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/1ucd40c598d4e6t7v6c60bxtt2iego
Local weather Agenda Makes Important CO2 a Harmful Pollutant
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Feb 7, 2024
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/climate-pollution-carbon-dioxide/2024/02/07/id/1152652/
Richard Courtney writes: “Bell’s article begins by offering this correct data,
‘To get some sense of highly effective political agenda influences on world local weather and environmental insurance policies, it’s instructive to revisit the acid rain hysteria of the late Nineteen Sixties which led fairly on to demonization of carbon dioxide (CO2) as a “local weather pollutant.’ Sadly, I admit that I’ve private duty for initiating that transition of the ‘acid rain hysteria’ into changing into the extra severe ‘world warming scare’.”
#ECS in the true world: Lewis 2022
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
“As soon as once more the IPCC jumped on a examine that advised them what they wished to listen to, with out checking the mathematics. And as soon as once more they obtained caught.”
Defending the Orthodoxy
Over the previous yr, world hit key world warming benchmark
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 8, 2024
“Scientists with the European Union on Thursday introduced their discovering that temperatures over the previous 12 months had been 1.52 levels Celsius (2.74 levels Fahrenheit) greater than the typical preindustrial temperatures between the years 1850 and 1900.”
[SEPP Comment: There is no way of calculating “average global temperature” and data for 1850 to 1900 are lacking.]
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Psychologists had been certain “local weather deniers” had been egocentric, however a examine of 4,000 confirmed the specialists had been fallacious
By Jo Nova, Feb 6, 2024
Examine: Psychological Interventions Do Not Work on Local weather Skeptics
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 9, 2024
Hyperlink to paper: Addressing local weather change with behavioral science: A world intervention match in 63 nations
By Madalina Vlasceanu (Dept of Psychology, NYU) and over 250 different authors, AAAS Science Advances, Feb 7, 2024
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adj5778
“Doom and gloom’ don’t change cussed local weather change denial”
Questioning the Orthodoxy
2023 Scientific Papers Forged Doubt On ‘Consensus’ In Local weather Science
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Feb 5, 2024
Web Zero Not Solely Inhuman, It’s Additionally Ecocidal
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Feb 3, 2024
“The fabric reviewed thus far on this paper confirms that there are numerous components that have an effect on the earth’s local weather. Many of those are poorly understood by man, and there are some components that most likely haven’t even been found but.”
Tidbits
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
“An alert viewer suggests a variation on the previous children’ recreation ‘Simon Says’ known as ‘Science says’ the place it’s at all times ‘Science says… hand over your pockets’.”
Cogent Evaluation
These advocating a case for recession within the US have an vitality blind spot.
By Doomberg, Weblog, Feb 7, 2024
https://doomberg.substack.com/p/cogent-analysis?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=343139&post_id=141437186&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=f7h7&utm_medium=e-mail
Vitality and Environmental Evaluate: February 5, 2024
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 5, 2024
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
Inexperienced machine
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
Hyperlink to paper: The worldwide greening continues regardless of elevated drought stress since 2000
By Xin Chen, et al., International Ecology and Conservation, January 2024
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2351989423004262
Wyoming and Local weather Change: CO2 Ought to Be Celebrated, Not Captured
By Frits Byron Soepyan, Gregory Wrightstone, and William Happer, CO2 Coalition, 2024
The greening of sub-Saharan Africa
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
From the CO2Science Archive:
Issues within the Orthodoxy
China Was Answerable for 96% of Coal Crops Constructed in 2023
By Charles Kennedy, Oil Value.com, Feb 6, 2024 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://oilprice.com/Newest-Vitality-Information/World-Information/China-Was-Accountable-for-96-of-Coal-Crops-Constructed-in-2023.html
“China’s perspective to coal has been onerous to swallow for Europe and different transition advocates however Beijing has made some extent of explaining that on its listing of priorities, vitality safety comes earlier than vitality transition.”
Collision course
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
Joe Oliver: If local weather blowhards might energy windmills, we’d all be OK
Alberta having to fret about electrical brownouts must be a wake-up name to the remainder of the nation
By Joe Oliver, Monetary Put up [Can], Jan 23, 2024
https://financialpost.com/opinion/climate-blowhards-power-windmills-wed-be-ok
Joe Oliver was minister of pure assets after which minister of finance within the Harper authorities.
From article:” It might occur nearly wherever however must be unlikely in Alberta — an emergency alert asking residents to scale back electrical energy utilization to avert rolling blackouts. In any case, Alberta has the world’s fourth-largest confirmed oil reserves and sufficient confirmed pure gasoline to fulfill Canada’s home wants for a whole bunch of years. So, the disaster was self-inflicted, a results of extreme reliance on intermittent renewable vitality. It’s a wake-up name for Alberta but it surely must be for the remainder of Canada, too.”
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Do-Nothing Perspective within the Face of China’s Abhorrent Coverage on Minerals Is Unacceptable
By Jaak Daemen, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 04, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/04/do-nothing_attitude_in_the_face_of_chinas_abhorrent_policy_on_minerals_is_unacceptable_1009486.html
Fashions v. Observations
New instrument predicts flood threat from hurricanes in a warming local weather
By Jennifer Chu, MIT Information, Boston MA (SPX) Feb 05, 2024
https://www.terradaily.com/stories/New_tool_predicts_flood_risk_from_hurricanes_in_a_warming_climate_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: Local weather change contributions to growing compound flooding threat in New York Metropolis
By Ali Sarhadi, et al., (together with Kerry Emanuel), Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Jan 24, 2024
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-23-0177.1/BAMS-D-23-0177.1.xml
From the summary: “Right here, for the primary time, physics-based hydrodynamic flood fashions pushed by rainfall and storm surge concurrently are used to estimate the magnitude and frequency of compound flooding occasions. We apply this to the actual case of New York Metropolis. We discover that sea degree rise (SLR) alone will improve the TC and ETC compound flooding hazard extra considerably than modifications in storm climatology because the local weather warms. We additionally undertaking that the return interval of damaging Sandy-like compound flooding will improve by as much as 5 instances by the top of the century. Our outcomes have sturdy implications for local weather change adaptation in coastal communities.”
[SEPP Comment: How well do the models track tidal gages in the area or even change in east coast storms?]
Mannequin Points
The Way forward for Climate Forecasts: Nearing the Pure Restrict of Predictability
By Robert Schreiber, Mainz, Germany (SPX) Feb 06, 2024
https://www.terradaily.com/stories/The_Future_of_Weather_Forecasts_Nearing_the_Natural_Limit_of_Predictability_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: The Transition from Sensible to Intrinsic Predictability of Midlatitude Climate
By Selz, Riemer, and Craig, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Aug 1, 2022
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/atsc/79/8/JAS-D-21-0271.1.xml
Sorry, the Little Ice Age Does Exist
By Andy Might, WUWT, Feb 9, 2024
“By evaluating minimal and most proxy temperatures over the Little Ice Age (~1300 to ~1850) and evaluating them to minimal and most fashionable each day instrumental measurements since 1900, Neukom, et al. would have us consider that the fashionable heat interval is exclusive. We now have 1000’s of climate stations, ocean buoys, and ARGO floats around the globe at the moment. It’s well-known that each day temperature extremes typically exceed 30°C, which is greater than 70 instances the variations being estimated by Neukom, et al. as proven in determine 5, which is from their paper. These each day extremes are captured in instrumental knowledge, however solely seen often, by pure likelihood, inaccurately, and in a really naturally smoothed means within the proxies. The proxies below pattern each the excessive and low temperatures. Additional, accuracy decreases backward in time.”
[SEPP Comment: The Argo float program began in 1999 and the data for calculation of atmospheric temperature trends started in 1979. Without establishing control periods or calibration periods, we have no basis for comparing current temperature trends with historic temperature trends from various proxies.]
Adjusting Salta, Argentina
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 8, 2024
Heating Laboulaye, Argentina
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 8, 2024
Measurement Points — Ambiance
UAH January 2024: Ocean Heat, Land Cooling
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Feb 6, 2024
Altering Climate
Local weather Change Is Not Behind Lake Mead’s Decline, Overuse and Poor Administration Are
By H. Sterling Burnett, Local weather Realism, Feb 9, 2024
[SEPP Comment: By the 1970s it was clear for those who studied the participation history of the area that the 1922 Colorado River Compact, dividing up the water between the upper basin and the lower basin (totaling seven states), was based on an unusually wet period.]
January’s Unremarkable Climate
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2024
“The local weather disaster appears to have bypassed us!”
A Dominating El Nino
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Feb 7, 2024
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2024/02/a-dominating-el-nino.html
Altering Local weather
What turned Earth into an enormous snowball 700m years in the past? Scientists now have a solution
All-time low volcanic carbon emissions triggered a 57-million-year-long world ice age
Press Launch, College of Sydney, Feb 7, 2024
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/02/240207194410.htm
Hyperlink to paper: Length of Sturtian “Snowball Earth” glaciation linked to exceptionally low mid-ocean ridge outgassing
By Adriana Dutkiewicz; Geology, Feb 7, 2024
https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/gsa/geology/article/doi/10.1130/G51669.1/633748/Length-of-Sturtian-Snowball-Earth-glaciation
From article: “They quickly realised that the beginning of the Sturtian ice age exactly correlates with an all-time low in volcanic CO2 emissions.
As well as, the CO2 outflux remained comparatively low for the complete length of the ice age.”
[SEPP Comment: The model we select has spoken: Therefore, CO2 must be the cause?]
Altering Seas
The Impact Of CO2 Will increase On Ocean Temperatures Is Too Small To Measurably Detect
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Feb 8, 2024
https://notrickszone.com/2024/02/08/the-effect-of-co2-increases-on-ocean-temperatures-is-too-small-to-
Hyperlink to newest paper: Satellite tv for pc-based time-series of sea-surface temperature since 1981 for local weather purposes
By Christopher J. Service provider, et al., Nature, Scientific Knowledge, Oct 2019
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-019-0236-x
Quickly Rising Sea Degree
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 7, 2024
Video: https://realclimatescience.com/2024/02/rapidly-rising-sea-level-2/#gsc.tab=0
Textual content: https://realclimatescience.com/2024/02/rapidly-rising-sea-level/#gsc.tab=0
Altering Earth
A volcanic eruption despatched sufficient water vapor into the stratosphere to trigger a fast change in chemistry
By Workers, NOAA, Dec 20, 2023 [H/t WUWT}
Link to paper: Rapid ozone depletion after humidification of the stratosphere by the Hunga Tonga Eruption
By Stephanie Evan, et al., AAAS Science, Oct 20, 2023
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adg2551
Link to another paper: Unexpectedly rapid aerosol formation in the Hunga Tonga plume
By Elizabeth Ashe, et al., PNAS, Oct 30, 2023
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2219547120
[SEPP Comment: This ozone is the same as the ozone that CFC were claimed to deplete. No discussion on how quickly solar radiation replaced the lost ozone.]
Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine
Leftists Disconnected From How Issues Work Are Destroying Every thing
By Vince Coyner, American Thinker, Feb 6, 2024
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/02/leftists_disconnected_from_how_things_work_are_destroying_everything.html
“Again then [before Cyrus McCormick invented the mechanical reaper], farming’s effectivity hadn’t modified a lot because the time of the pyramids. A person, utilizing a scythe, might harvest roughly one acre of grain a day. [and approximately 80% of American population was involved in agriculture]. With at the moment’s machines, a farmer can harvest as much as 100 acres in a day. Small marvel that solely 3% of the US inhabitants at the moment farms.”
NSF leads a $35M federal funding in future agricultural applied sciences and options
Seven groups from the NSF Convergence Accelerator program advance to Part 2 to deal with meals and vitamin insecurity challenges
Press Launch, NSF, Feb 6, 2024
https://new.nsf.gov/information/nsf-leads-35m-federal-investment-future?utm_medium=e-mail&utm_source=govdelivery
“The U.S. Nationwide Science Basis is investing in new applied sciences that tackle the complicated challenges in tackling meals and vitamin insecurity from inhabitants progress, rising diet-related ailments and disparities and local weather resilience.”
[SEPP Comment: Does NSF recognize that food production has gone up with increasing atmospheric CO2? Is NSF peddling the imaginary “climate crisis”?]
Un-Science or Non-Science?
Local weather Deniers Pocketing $20 Undermines the Motivated Reasoning Speculation?
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 5, 2024
Reducing Requirements
Local weather Knowledge Corruption Enterprise (Half 2)
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Feb 8, 2024
Video: https://realclimatescience.com/2024/02/climate-data-corruption-business-part-2/#gsc.tab=0
“Time of statement bias
Adjusting the info to correspond with growing CO2
Greater than 2 levels of changes”
The Govt’s Model Of EV Details
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 7, 2024
“If a enterprise had supplied such deceptive promoting, the Promoting Requirements Company would have come down on them like a ton of bricks!”
Hurricane Class 6?
By Rud Istvan, WUWT, Feb 7, 2024
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Local weather Cultists at The Guardian: This Time, It’s Evil Propane
By Tilak Doshi, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 8, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/08/climate_cultists_at_the_guardian_this_time_its_evil_propane_1010629.html
Is Northwest Snow Historical past? Scientific Errors in A Main Seattle Occasions Local weather Story
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Feb 5, 2024
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2024/02/is-northwest-snow-history-scientific.html
“I get uninterested in writing blogs on this subject.”
“This Seattle Occasions article was financed by a set of activist foundations and the College of Washington. It reveals the risks of advocacy journalism.”
The BBC’s newest local weather protection makes XR look average
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 9, 2024
[SEPP Comment: XR is the abbreviation for the Extinction Rebellion.]
Chemmy Alcott Ought to Be taught What Glaciers Are Actually Like!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 6, 2024
“Do you know that within the 17thC glaciers relentlessly pushed downslope ruining 1000’s of acres of farmland and leaving many villages uninhabitable similar to La Bois the place a authorities official famous ‘the place there are nonetheless six homes. all uninhabited save two, through which reside some wretched girls and kids…Above and adjoining the village there’s a nice and horrible glacier of nice and incalculable quantity which may promise nothing however the destruction of the homes and lands which nonetheless stay’”?
Irish dying gasoline
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
Snow Is A Factor Of The Previous–Besides In Britain!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 7, 2024
No, Los Angeles Occasions, Local weather Change Is Not ‘Supercharging’ the Newest Winter Storm
By Anthony Watts, Local weather Realism, Feb 6, 2024
[SEPP Comment: LA Times ignoring California’s climate history?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Imprecise?
The subsequent huge local weather scare: Counting local weather change deaths
By Steve Goreham, Washington Examiner, (H/t Icecap.us)
“With deaths from pure disasters and famine declining, and since fewer individuals die in hotter temperatures, the case for counting deaths from world warming is poor at finest. However don’t underestimate the flexibility of local weather alarmists to create concern by exaggerating the info.”
[SEPP Comment: Will the deaths associated with global warming for a species that evolved in tropical Africa exceed the imaginary deaths from PM 2.5? Will we have more human deaths associated with these “causes” than humans?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Declare: Permitting Customers to Assume ChatGPT is Impartial May Fight Local weather Denial
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 6, 2024
Truth examine: Tim Spector’s scary local weather claims
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2024
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
The Weaponization of “Scientific Consensus”
Solely science presents a path to reality, not surveys of skilled opinion
By Roger Pielke Jr. The Sincere Dealer, Feb 5, 2024
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/the-weaponization-of-scientific-consensus?utm_source=substack&publication_id=119454&post_id=141394790&utm_medium=e-mail&utm_content=share&utm_campaign=email-share&triggerShare=true&isFreemail=true&r=f7h7
[Medical] “’Misinformation’ means false data that’s contradicted by modern scientific consensus opposite to the usual of care.”
The wealthy eat you
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
The local weather nervous breakdown continues
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
“Dezeen moans that ‘Our greatest local weather problem is not denial, however despair’. And a chunk in Nature Psychological Well being (sure, there actually is such a publication) says ‘The psychological well being results of weather-related disasters are effectively characterised, but much less is understood in regards to the impact of persistent, slow-onset local weather change.’ Unfaithful.”
Activists simply can’t cease utilizing emotional blackmail to promote the local weather change narrative
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Feb 8, 2024
Local weather Change Killing Soccer, Says Foolish Katie Rood
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 3, 2024
Speaking Higher to the Public – Protest
Thanks, Related Press, For Reporting on E.U. Farmers’ Victory over Dangerous Local weather Rules
By Linnea Lueken, Local weather Realism, Feb 7, 2024
Farmers win: Main EU backdown on farming emissions and rules
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 7, 2024
Rowan Dean On European Farmer Protests
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 4, 2024
“Nicely price watching this video by Rowan Dean, which give the low down on the European protests largely being ignored by our media.”
12-minute video
“EU plan to get rid of fashionable farming within the EU.
Increasing the Orthodoxy
10 states say Biden ought to subject ‘emergency’ employee protections from excessive warmth
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 9, 2024
10 states say Biden should issue ‘emergency’ worker protections from extreme heat
[SEPP Comment: No one from the Southeast where it is both hot and humid in the summer, but it includes cold weather states such as Colorado and the Northeast.]
Questioning European Inexperienced
Retreat from Web Zero is below means
Press Launch, Web Zero Watch, Feb 8, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/45fehmhbkzk6ize74aefqdasg63233
Hyperlink to report: Retreat from Web Zero is below means
By Ross, Clark, Web Zero Watch, 2024
Inexperienced Energies Shattering German Economic system…Industrial Manufacturing Falls seventh Consecutive Month
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Feb 7, 2024
Inexperienced backdowns — Chaos and division strikes UK Labour and German Greens over local weather targets
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 3, 2024
Is Sir Keir about to slay the Inexperienced Blob?
Press launch, Web Zero Watch, Feb 9, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/is-sir-keir-about-to-slay-the-green-blob
Labour Cuts Inexperienced Price range By 80%
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 9, 2024
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Time to retire the time period ‘renewable vitality’ from severe dialogue and vitality coverage directives
By Russell Schussler (Planning Engineer), Local weather And so forth. Feb 5, 2024
BP misplaced $1b in wind energy and simply flipped from reducing oil by 40% to growing it
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 9, 2024
Face It: The Vitality Transition Ain’t Occurring
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 4, 2024
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2024-2-4-face-it-the-energy-transition-aint-happening
“’Empier Wind 2’s canceled contract despatched shocks additional down the availability chain. The day after Equinox and BP introduced the cancellation, Sangapore-based Seatrium mentioned its $250 million deal to construct a substation for Empire Wind 2 was lifeless. So too was a contract with Dutch producer Sir for turbine foundations. A contract for rock set up, which stabilizes the sea-floor round marine constructions, with Texas-based Nice Lakes Dredge & Dock company was additionally terminated. . ..
In the mean time, New York’s local weather gurus are on the market scrambling to attempt to put one thing again collectively. In the end, it should by no means work; however it is going to be an excellent whereas earlier than they admit that.’”
The True Prices of Web Zero Are Changing into Unimaginable to Cover
By Mike Shedlock, Mish Speak, Feb 6, 2024
Inexperienced Jobs
Inexperienced Jobs Bonanza?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 9, 2024
Hyperlink to report: Experimental estimates of inexperienced jobs, UK: 2023
Exploring estimates of inexperienced jobs utilizing the business, occupation and agency approaches.
By Workers, Workplace of Nationwide Statistics, Sep 27, 2023
https://www.ons.gov.uk/financial system/environmentalaccounts/bulletins/experimentalestimatesofgreenjobsuk/2023
“In response to the ONS, the variety of inexperienced jobs within the UK rose from 507,000 in 2015 to 526,000 in 2020.
Most of those are jobs which have historically existed, similar to waste assortment, forestry administration, water and wider environmental actions. There are additionally 53500 non-jobs similar to consultancy, charities and administration.
After we strip these out, the roles whole rises from 168,000 to 179,000. Hardly earth shattering”
“Both means the variety of manufacturing jobs already misplaced added to those which might be in future because of Web Zero will dwarf this handful of latest inexperienced jobs.”
Funding Points
The Price range and Financial Outlook: 2024 to 2034
By Workers, Congressional Price range Workplace, Feb 7, 2024
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59710?modtag=djemBestOfTheWeb
Litigation Points
“Electrify Every thing” Slammed Once more By Ninth Circuit
Courtroom’s newest ruling has nationwide implications and affirms that bans on direct use of pure gasoline violate federal legislation.
By Robert Bryce, His Weblog, Feb 5, 2024
https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/electrify-everything-slammed-again?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=630873&post_id=141377106&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=f7h7&utm_medium=e-mail
Federal courtroom finalizes $1.2B ‘eternally chemical compounds’ settlement involving main companies
By Sharon Udansin, The Hill, Feb 8, 2024
Federal court finalizes $1.2B ‘forever chemicals’ settlement involving major firms
[SEPP Comment: Where is the physical evidence of harm?]
Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes
Web Zero Watch says Sunak has snubbed local weather advisers
Press launch, Web Zero watch, Feb 5, 2024
https://www.netzerowatch.com/all-news/ndni63ujksuhyft0jgpdrr11fs4951
Most North Sea oil and gasoline tasks threat being ‘unviable’ below Labour plans
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 4, 2024
Subsidies and Mandates Perpetually
EU mulls emergency support for collapsing photo voltaic producers
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 4, 2024
Vitality Points – Non-US
One other Web Zero retreat? Tories ditch ‘boiler tax’
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 4, 2024
“’ Producers would have been fined in the event that they missed warmth pump targets — passing the prices on to shoppers’”
Will EV Gross sales Hit 22% Goal This Yr?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 3, 2024
Hyperlink to: Zero emission automobile (ZEV) mandate session: abstract of responses and joint authorities response
By Workers, Division for Transport, Gov.UK, Oct 25, 2023
https://www.gov.uk/authorities/consultations/a-zero-emission-vehicle-zev-mandate-and-co2-emissions-regulation-for-new-cars-and-vans-in-the-uk/end result/zero-emission-vehicle-zev-mandate-consultation-summary-of-responses-and-joint-government-response#:~:textual content=Wepercent20willpercent20implementpercent20thepercent20proposed,%2Cpercent20andpercent2025percent25percent20inpercent202026.
Vitality Points – Australia
Greens in Shock at Australia’s “Rally Towards Reckless Renewables”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 8, 2024
Vitality Points — US
On Vitality Transition
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 7, 2024
On Local weather: “The Elites Have Flipped Worldviews” | Scott Tinker | EP 419
Video By Jordan B. Peterson, By way of WUWT, Feb 6, 2024
In January Chilly, the Texas Electrical energy Grid Held – Barely
By Invoice King, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 7, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/07/in_january_cold_the_texas_electricity_grid_held__barely_1010058.html
Are Activist Utility Regulators Placing Private Agendas Over Doing Their Job?
By Paul Alexander, Actual Clear Vitality, Febr 02, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/02/are_activist_utility_regulators_putting_personal_agendas_over_doing_their_job_1009078.html
Microsoft Russian Hack: A Dire Warning for Electrical Grid Safety
By Paul Steidler, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 7, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/07/microsoft_russian_hack_a_dire_warning_for_electric_grid_security_1010076.html
Democratic-led states be a part of forces to spice up warmth pump use
By Zack Buddryk, The Hill, Feb 7, 2024
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/4453395-democratic-led-states-join-forces-to-boost-heat-pump-us
Washington’s Management of Vitality
Germany’s Vitality Sources Are Working Out As Biden Stops LNG Tasks
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Feb 5, 2024
Biden tightens air air pollution limits for lethal soot
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 7, 2024
[SEPP Comment Where is the physical evidence justifying the regulations?]
Biden official defends gasoline allowing pause amid bipartisan scrutiny
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 8, 2024
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/4457147-biden-official-defends-gas-permitting-pause-amid-bipartisan-scrutiny/
[SEPP Comment: Trying to justify the current ban on new increases in exports with the growth of exports as the US became a net exporter of natural gas for the first time ever.]
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/natural-gas/imports-and-exports.php
Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?
Will U.S. Oil Growth Preserve Booming?
By Irina Slav, Oil Value.com, Feb 04, 2024
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Crude-Oil/Will-US-Oil-Growth-Preserve-Booming.html
[SEPP Comment: The constraints are largely political, not economic or physical.]
Nuclear Vitality and Fears
Is Nuclear “Protected’? Let Value-Anderson Expire in 2025
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Feb 6, 2024
“’Nothing is so everlasting as a brief authorities program.’– Milton Friedman”
Nuclear Information …. Little Good
By Kennedy Maize, Grasp Useful resource, Feb 9, 2024
The Way forward for American Vitality Manufacturing Should Embody Nuclear
By Tommy Tuberville, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 05, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/05/the_future_of_american_energy_production_must_include_nuclear_1009628.html
lternative, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Amazon’s Deal With Moray West Wind Farm Baffles Foolish Telegraph Reporter
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 5, 2024
“’When Amazon introduced it was shopping for up half the output from certainly one of Britain’s latest and largest wind farms final week, it appeared like excellent news for Britain’s web zero ambitions.’”
Homewood: “For starters, Amazon received’t be operating their operation on wind energy, and consequently received’t be drawing renewable assets away from houses and companies. In the event that they actually wished to go inexperienced, they might lower themselves off from the grid, and procure their electrical energy direct from wind and photo voltaic farms.”
Wind Speeds At Bingley
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2024
Replace: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2024/02/09/daily-average-wind-speeds-at-bingley/
“Many of the public most likely believes that storms are getting extra highly effective, regardless of the Met Workplace stating the other to be the case.
That is inevitable given of the media protection these days, amplified by giving each little bit of windy climate a foolish identify.”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Different
The U.S. Navy Appears to Geothermal for Safe, Agency Energy
By John Karakoulakis, Actual Clear Vitality, Feb 05, 2024
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2024/02/05/the_us_military_looks_to_geothermal_for_secure_firm_power_1009779.html
“There are completely different variations of this know-how, however normally, chilly water is pumped down the effectively and circulated again to the floor a whole bunch of levels hotter. With the assistance of a warmth exchanger, the recent water is used to drive a turbine that generates electrical energy with none emissions.”
[SEPP Comment: What is the temperature decrease in the geothermal area due to extraction of heat in the process?]
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
Ford Misplaced $4.7B On EVs Final Yr, Or About $64,731 For Each EV It Offered
Electrifyingly dangerous information in Dearborn
By Robert Bryce, His Weblog, Feb 7, 2024
https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/ford-lost-47b-on-evs-last-year-or?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=630873&post_id=141444249&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=f7h7&utm_medium=e-mail
Ford EV Disaster: “Our Gen 2 automobiles received’t launch except we are able to … revenue”
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Feb 8, 2024
[SEPP Comment: “Ford’s official parts catalog for the F-150 Lightning shows that the standard range battery costs $28,556 while the extended pack will set you back $35,960. This excludes any labor costs.” According to the post, labor costs will more than double the battery cost.]
https://www.topspeed.com/how-much-costs-change-ford-ev-battery/#:~:textual content=Averagepercent20Costpercent20Rangepercent20Forpercent20Fordpercent20EVpercent20Batterypercent20Replacement&textual content=Ford’spercent20officialpercent20partspercent20catalogpercent20for,Thispercent20excludespercent20anypercent20laborpercent20costs.
Simply pause for a second to understand how briskly the EV transition is coming undone
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Feb 8, 2024
The West’s humiliating electrical automotive climbdown has begun
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 5, 2024
“’ Billions of taxpayer’s cash can have been wasted. We should always draw the lesson from that, as bitter as it’d show. The Authorities by no means is aware of what the industries of the longer term might be – and will depart it to entrepreneurs and prospects to work that out.’”
Ross Clark: The electrical automobiles farce has reached a shambolic new low
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 7, 2024
EV Demand Tumbles In January
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 7, 2024
Electrical automobiles: Lords urge motion on ‘misinformation’ in press
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 7, 2024
“It most likely received’t come as any nice shock to be taught the Baroness Parminter has zero expertise in transport, industrial or financial issues. The Deputy Chief of the Liberal Democrats within the Lords has spent most of her helpful life campaigning for animal rights and conservation charities.”
Carbon Schemes
Examine warns of overreliance on carbon dioxide elimination in local weather methods
By y Simon Mansfield, Melbourne, Australia (SPX), Feb 02, 2024
https://www.terradaily.com/stories/Study_warns_of_overreliance_on_carbon_dioxide_removal_in_climate_strategies_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: Sustainability limits wanted for CO2 elimination
The true local weather mitigation problem is revealed by contemplating sustainability impacts
By Alexadra Deprez, AAAS Science, Feb 1, 2024
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adj6171
From the summary: Not solely does this threat locking us right into a excessive overshoot above 1.5°C (3), however it should additionally improve biodiversity loss, imperiling the Kunming-Montreal International Biodiversity Framework (KMGBF) objectives.
Hyperlink to put up: Kunming-Montreal International Biodiversity Framework
By Workers: Conference on Organic Range, Dec 18, 2023
https://www.cbd.int/gbf/
Hyperlink to objectives: 2050 Objectives
By Workers: Conference on Organic Range, Dec 18, 2023
https://www.cbd.int/gbf/objectives/
California Dreaming
California Mega-Drought Replace
By Caleb Shaw, Dawn’s Swansong, By way of WUWT, Feb 6, 2024
“This isn’t to say California doesn’t must suppose onerous about the way it makes use of water. Roughly a billion gallons of water every day is slurped from the Colorado River to feed the thirst of San Diego and Los Angeles. If the inhabitants of California is roughly 40 million, meaning every particular person guzzles 25 gallons every day. One thing to consider. How a lot goes to silly lawns which individuals by no means even use? How a lot goes to rising meals that feeds 49 different states?”
[SEPP Comment: Both San Diego and Los Angeles are suitable for desalination plants that are now affordable thanks to advances in technology.]
Well being, Vitality, and Local weather
Are We On The Cusp Of Historic Medical Applied sciences? (Half 1)
By Henry I. Miller, MS, MD, ACSH, Feb 6, 2024
https://www.acsh.org/information/2024/02/06/are-we-cusp-historic-medical-technologies-part-1-17554
A Bitterly Disappointing Verdict
By John Hinderaker, PowerLine, Feb 8, 2024
JC’s ethics criticism towards Michael Mann
By Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. Feb 8, 2024
Trial Of Mann v. Steyn, Half V: Jury Directions And Closing Argument
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Feb 8, 2024
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2024-2-8-trial-of-mann-v-steyn-part-v-jury-instructions-and-closing-argument
“Alternatively, Mann’s lawyer appeared to suppose that his finest proof of ‘precise malice’ lay within the NSF report discovering no analysis misconduct by Mann. Making ‘precise malice’ provable this fashion basically implies that members of the general public are required to simply accept an official authorities occasion line to keep away from exposing themselves to ruinous defamation fits. Perhaps, simply possibly, that argument might draw curiosity from the Supreme Courtroom.
In a small observe of optimism, I think that Steyn can get assist if he needs it from professional bono legal professionals to proceed with appeals. Alternatively, he could resolve that his finest strategy is to go away the US and never pay the judgment. That’s the strategy that Mann has taken with the judgment issued towards him in Canada for his failed defamation swimsuit towards Tim Ball.”
Nothing Can Save ‘Local weather Science’, Not Now
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Feb 9, 2024
“Judith Curry tweeted ‘an enormous blow for freedom of speech’. No. This was at all times a trial about ‘local weather science’. It’s also an enormous blow for the integrity of historic temperature reconstructions.”
Local weather scientist wins defamation case towards right-wing writers
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Feb 9, 2024
https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/4458609-climate-scientist-michael-mann-wins-defamation-case-against-right-wing-writers/
Different Scientific Information
Trendy Scientific Controversies 2024: The Monarch Wars — Half 1
By Kip Hansen, Feb 6, 2024
Half 2: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/02/08/modern-scientific-controversies-2024-the-monarch-wars-part-2/
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Fascinating Information Objects
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Feb 3, 2024
“The Nice Salt Lake: Personhood ?”
Inequality is a local weather drawback
By Jessica McKenzie, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Feb 5, 2024
Hyperlink to Social Dimensions of Local weather Change
Because the local weather continues to alter, tens of millions of poor individuals face growing challenges when it comes to excessive occasions, well being results, meals, water, and livelihood safety, migration and compelled displacement, lack of cultural identification, and different associated dangers.
By Workers, The World Financial institution, Accessed Feb 7, 2024
https://www.worldbank.org/en/subject/social-dimensions-of-climate-change
[SEPP Comment: In the history humans, when has inequity not existed?]
Met Workplace Says Put on Heat Garments When It’s Chilly!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 5, 2024
The micro-gardens of local weather dying
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Feb 7, 2024
“Talking of the dreaded carbon footprint of farming, no sooner are we advised to plant micro-gardens to calm our local weather anxiousness than a narrative blares ‘Carbon footprint of homegrown meals 5 instances larger than these grown conventionally’. Yaaaaaah!”
The Fact Comes Again To Hang-out Bob Ward!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Feb 8, 2024
ARTICLES
1. Biden’s Worst Vitality Choice
His LNG export allow ban seems worse the extra you look at it.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Feb. 4, 2024
https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-lng-permit-pause-climate-energy-economy-national-security-1ec77997?mod=hp_opin_pos_1
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins with:
“Congress this week will maintain hearings on the allow freeze for brand spanking new liquefied pure gasoline (LNG) export tasks that President Biden introduced two weeks in the past. The nearer one seems, the extra hurt this uncooked political payoff to the local weather left will do to U.S. nationwide safety and financial pursuits.
The White Home has been whispering to its European allies to not fear about its moratorium’s impression on LNG provide even because it crows to the local weather foyer. Progressives are celebrating as a result of they know the putative pause will shrink funding in LNG. Merely learn the plaudits from local weather potentates on the White Home web site.
‘The Biden administration is listening to the calls to interrupt America’s reliance on soiled fossil fuels,’ Sierra Membership government director Ben Jealous proclaimed. ‘It’s plain that LNG export tasks are merely not within the public curiosity and we’re assured that if this evaluate is finished proper, that may finish the rubber-stamping of those tasks.’ Bought that, Mr. President?
The Vitality Division is required by legislation to approve permits to export LNG to nations with which the U.S. doesn’t have free-trade agreements if they’re within the ‘public curiosity.’ The division has by no means rejected a allow. However now the Administration plans to take action by redefining ‘public curiosity’ to incorporate the potential impression on the local weather.
The White Home says the pause will solely have an effect on a handful of tasks which might be at present in search of Vitality Division permits, however that is dishonest. It can additionally freeze a couple of half a dozen tasks in search of Federal Vitality Regulatory Fee approvals and will halt one other dozen or so which were permitted by earlier Presidents.
That’s as a result of the Vitality Division in December introduced that tasks not but working must reapply for permits if it’s been seven years since they had been licensed. So tasks within the works might get deep-sixed—even when they’ve billions of {dollars} in dedicated capital and contractual agreements with prospects.”
The editorial discusses how the uncertainty created by the ban on new export permits is aiding different nations in increasing their exports. It then concludes with:
“Whereas the Administration downplays the national-security dangers of its self-embargo, U.S. allies fear it should make them extra susceptible to geopolitical disruptions. About 20% of the worldwide LNG provide travels via the Strait of Hormuz. LNG cargoes to Europe at the moment are being diverted from the Crimson Sea due to Houthi missile assaults.
Russian and Iranian proxies might trigger LNG costs to spike by attacking one or two giant Qatar export services. Some nations in Asia would possibly then burn extra coal as they did in 2022 when LNG costs shot up. However Europeans are planning to retire coal and nuclear vegetation within the coming years on the expectation that they’ll have ample LNG from the U.S.
As for America’s financial pursuits, a single LNG export undertaking will produce about $600 billion in income over its lifespan and create 1000’s of jobs, together with in metal manufacturing and fracking—no authorities subsidies required.
Enterprise International’s Gulf Coast CP2 might provide about 5% of the world’s LNG by 2026 and would have an even bigger impression on the U.S. financial system than any inexperienced vitality undertaking. It could additionally cut back world greenhouse gasoline emissions by 140 million tons a yr—about as a lot as all container ships on this planet produce. But it surely nonetheless wants an Vitality Division allow.
We look ahead to listening to Administration officers clarify to Congress how this remarkably damaging ban is within the public curiosity.”
****************************
A Progressive California Epiphany Over Hovering Electrical energy Charges
Democrats wish to repeal the graduated earnings tax on electrical energy they handed two years in the past.
By The Editorial Board, WSJ, Feb. 6, 2024
https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-progressive-california-epiphany-over-soaring-electricity-rates-climate-energy-7f564c60?mod=hp_opin_pos_4#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: The editorial begins with:
Keep in mind Nancy Pelosi’s well-known line that Democrats needed to go ObamaCare to be taught what was in it? Democrats in Sacramento at the moment are having second ideas a couple of legislation they handed two years in the past that may successfully set up a second progressive earnings tax in California.
Democrats final week launched laws to repeal a 2022 finances invoice that licensed the Public Utilities Fee (PUC) to restructure electrical energy charges by imposing a hard and fast cost on an income-graduated foundation. The finances invoice’s function was to scale back the state’s skyrocketing charges for lower-income individuals and shift utility prices to greater earners.
Common residential charges for investor-owned utility prospects have surged by 72% to 127% over the previous 10 years. About 2.5 million households are behind on their payments, averaging $733 in arrears.
One perpetrator is the state’s aggressive green-energy buildout, which has required batteries to again up intermittent photo voltaic and wind. One other is the state’s net-metering program, which generously compensates households with photo voltaic panels for extra energy they ship to the grid. This has shifted prices for sustaining the grid to houses with out photo voltaic panels.
Lawmakers have additionally shifted state authorities prices for wildfire mitigation and local weather subsidies to utilities so the politicians can commit extra spending to their public-union buddies. On the identical time the state has mandated that utilities present reductions to lower-income prospects. These reductions get baked into greater charges for all prospects.
The local weather foyer frets that hovering electrical energy charges will discourage low- and middle-income Californians from shopping for electrical automobiles (although they’re additionally an inducement to put in photo voltaic panels). Thus, Gov. Gavin Newsom two years in the past pressured the Legislature to go the finances invoice to determine the nation’s first income-based electrical energy charges.
The editorial described that though some members of the Meeting objected the invoice was handed, then concludes with:
“The PUC hasn’t finalized the brand new electrical charge constructions. However Pacific Gasoline & Electrical Firm has floated charging prospects fastened charges starting from $15 a month for these incomes lower than $28,000 yearly and as much as $92 a month for these making $180,000 or extra. Earnings-based fees on greater earners will rise as utility prices do.
Ten state Senators not too long ago despatched a letter urging the PUC to reject utilities’ proposed earnings fees. ‘Californians already pay a number of the highest electrical payments within the nation and shouldn’t be pressured to arbitrarily pay extra to cowl for a non-public utility’s poor enterprise selections,’ San Francisco progressive Sen. Scott Wiener declared.
No—they are going to be pressured to pay extra to compensate for Sacramento’s dangerous coverage selections. The progressive epiphany in Sacramento is welcome, belated as it could be. Perhaps California isn’t fully misplaced.”
Associated
The contents inside the article have been equipped through Newswire for Finencial.com, go to